mortgagedata.ai

Mortgage market now — official readings, no forecast

30-year mortgage
6.69%
3 bps higher than the prior week
Freddie Mac · Aug 6
10-year Treasury
4.65%
Daily move -4 bps
U.S. Treasury · Aug 7
Yield curve
10-year above both shorter yields
10y–2y +46 bps · 10y–3m +78 bps
U.S. Treasury · Aug 7
Next release
Consumer Price Index
Wed, Aug 12, 8:30 AM EDT
BLS

Rates & releases

The rate environment from primary sources — weekly Freddie Mac survey, daily Treasury observations, the Regulation Z benchmark, and the official release calendar. Every number carries its source and date. No forecasts.

Economy & rates

The rate environment, before the headlines

Official observations · no forecast
10-year Treasury
4.65%
As of Aug 7
What this means

The 10-year Treasury is a market benchmark that influences the rate environment; it does not directly set mortgage rates.

Official source
Yield curve
10-year above both shorter yields
As of Aug 7
10y–2y +46 bps · 10y–3m +78 bps
6-month spread trend0 = same yield
From Feb 5 to Aug 7, the 10-year minus 2-year spread ended at +46 bps and the 10-year minus 3-month spread ended at +78 bps. Values below zero are inverted for that comparison.
10y–2y10y–3mFeb 5Aug 7
What this means

We compare the 10-year yield with both the 2-year and 3-month yields. A negative spread is inverted; one negative spread is labeled partly inverted. Inversion can reflect tight current policy and expectations of lower future rates, but it is not a deterministic recession forecast.

Official source
30-year fixed APOR
6.72%
Effective Aug 10 · +4 bps
What this means

APOR is a weekly Regulation Z offer-rate benchmark for low-risk transactions. It supports pricing, HMDA rate-spread, HPML, and fair-lending analysis; it is not an average closed-loan rate or a forecast.

Official source

Keep following the record

The News desk carries each change as it lands — releases, benchmark moves, and official statements, human-reviewed. Or ask the data directly: every answer in the product is computed from governed sources and cites its vintage.